Military strikes are unlikely to permanently destroy Iran's nuclear program

Analytical evidence suggests that military strikes are unlikely to be able to permanently destroy Iran's nuclear program. Military and nuclear experts say that any attacks by the United States and Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities would be risky and would only set the program back a few years if their true goal is not regime change.

 The main conclusions of the experts

-Riskiness of attacks: Experts emphasize that any military attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities will be fraught with high risk. This could lead to an escalation of the conflict and negative consequences for regional and international security.

- Temporary effect: Even if the attacks are successful, they will at best set back the Iranian nuclear program by several years. However, this will not stop Iran from resuming the program in the future.

- The goal of regime change: Experts point out that for the final destruction of Iran's nuclear program, it is necessary to achieve broader political goals, such as regime change in the country.

Historical context

Military attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities have been attempted in the past. For example, in the 2010s, Israel and the United States conducted operations to sabotage Iran's nuclear program, including cyber attacks and assassinations of scientists. However, these actions could not completely stop the program.

Influence on international politics

The possibility of military attacks on Iran is of concern to the international community. Many countries oppose such actions, fearing escalation of the conflict and negative consequences for global security.