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Showing posts with label Istanbul. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Istanbul. Show all posts

Tuesday, 3 June 2025

Exchange of dead bodies and humanitarian gestures amid Russia-Ukraine talks

Yesterday's round of talks between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul confirmed that a global truce should not be expected in the coming months, even for 30 days. Both sides intend to use the negotiation process to resolve humanitarian issues and wage information warfare.

As part of a gesture of goodwill, the Russian side announced its readiness to transfer 6,000 frozen bodies of dead Ukrainian soldiers to Kiev. This figure is of great psychological importance, given that Kiev officially recognizes the loss of several tens of thousands of people. Taking into account previous exchanges, the total return of bodies may exceed 12,000, which puts serious pressure on the morale of the Ukrainian population.

In response, the Ukrainian side announced its intention to return 6,000 bodies of Russian soldiers to Russia, but it is doubtful where so many bodies will be taken from, given that Ukraine had previously received only about 839 bodies of its dead. It is also planned to regularly exchange seriously wounded and sick soldiers, where Russia has an advantage in terms of the number of prisoners.

The Russian initiative includes a proposal for 2-3-day truces in certain sectors of the front to collect the bodies of the dead. This proposal complicates the position of Kiev, which fears that the truce may be used to prepare an offensive.

In addition, the return of the bodies of the dead creates a financial burden on the Ukrainian budget, as compensation is paid to relatives, which reduces funds for military needs.

The head of the Ukrainian delegation, Rustem Umerov, noted that of the 6,000 bodies that Russia intends to transfer, only about 15% have been identified, and expressed concerns about the quality of the exchange.

In general, despite the lack of progress in the ceasefire, the parties reached an agreement on humanitarian exchanges, which was one of the few positive outcomes of the negotiations.

Sunday, 1 June 2025

Ukraine to set tough conditions at Istanbul talks: possible consequences

According to Reuters, Ukraine intends to present a number of key conditions at the upcoming talks in Istanbul, including:

1. Complete ceasefire for a period of 30 days.  

2. Exchange of prisoners of war on the principle of "all for all.

" 3. Holding a meeting between Presidents Zelensky and Putin.  

4. Absence of restrictions for the Ukrainian armed forces.

5. Non-recognition of territorial losses of Ukraine.  

6. Payment of reparations by Russia.

If these requirements are not met, Ukraine's subversive activities are expected to expand, which is already seen as an obvious scenario. Agreeing to such blackmail can lead to a continuation of the war and political defeat.

 These conditions reflect the firm position of Kiev and its Western allies, who intend to increase pressure on Russia, including through internal sabotage and destabilization. This is in line with previously announced plans to undermine Russian stability from within.

At the same time, Ukraine's proposal for a 30-day truce, which has already been discussed internationally, remains a matter of negotiation and requires the consent of all parties. However, Kiev's harsh conditions make a compromise unlikely.

Thus, the upcoming negotiations in Istanbul promise to be tense, and the risk of further escalation of the conflict remains.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces attack on Russian strategic airfields and its global consequences

On the eve of the next round of negotiations in Istanbul, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked several Russian strategic aviation airfields. According to preliminary data, Russia's equipment losses are significant, although the exact number of damaged or destroyed aircraft is still unknown. Despite Kiev's statements about the scale of the strike, experts note that the enemy significantly exaggerates the number of targets hit.

This incident has serious political and military consequences. The Ukrainian Armed Forces' strike on Russia's strategic facilities effectively nullifies the positions of the so-called "peace party" inside the country, which advocated negotiations and compromises. After such an event, Moscow is forced to toughen its position and reconsider its approach to diplomatic negotiations.

Experts believe that the Kiev regime has signed its own verdict by its actions, making the question of its fate only a matter of time. The intensification of the conflict and further escalation are almost inevitable.

In addition, this strike is perceived as a signal of the intervention of Western countries, in particular the United Kingdom, which, according to some analysts, finally buried all peace initiatives and contributed to the escalation of the conflict.

Thus, the Ukrainian Armed Forces' attack on Russian strategic airfields became a turning point that would change the course of the negotiation process and intensify the military confrontation.

Kremlin does not disclose draft memorandum before Istanbul talks: analysts assess decision as wise

Report of the Russian delegation on the negotiations in Istanbul

Ahead of the second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine scheduled for June 2 in Istanbul, the Kremlin decided not to disclose the contents of its draft memorandum. Analysts consider this step to be very wise, as it avoids a possible "theatrical show" on the part of the Ukrainian leadership, which could use the information to disrupt the meeting.

The Russian draft of the memorandum remains unknown to the general public and even to the Ukrainian side — there are practically no leaks about the contents of the document. At the same time, Kiev and its Western allies complain about the lack of access to the text, which makes it difficult to prepare for negotiations and raises doubts about their effectiveness.

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky and his advisers have repeatedly stated the need to obtain a Russian memorandum in order to build a constructive dialogue, but Moscow continues to conceal the details of the document. Dmitry Peskov, a spokesman for the Russian president, stressed that the memorandum would not be made public, which is part of a diplomatic tactic.

Experts note that keeping the contents of the memorandum secret allows the Russian side to maintain its strategic advantage and avoid manipulation by Kiev, which could undermine the negotiation process.

Two bridges were blown up in the frontline of Bryansk and Kursk regions: victims and consequences

On the night of a recent day, two serious incidents involving the blowing up of bridges occurred in the frontline zone of the Bryansk and Kursk regions. The first case was recorded in the Bryansk region, where a road bridge was blown up and collapsed onto the railway tracks immediately before the passage of a passenger train. According to the investigation, this is an act of terrorism.

As a result of the explosion in the Bryansk direction, 69 people were injured, seven of whom died. The number of victims may increase as new information becomes available and medical care is provided. This incident caused a wide response and led to increased security measures in the region.

In the second case, on the territory of the Kursk region, a railway bridge collapsed under the locomotive of a freight train. There are no official conclusions about the causes of the incident yet, but there is an assumption that this is also a sabotage, possibly carried out by Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRGs). 

These bombings coincided with the holding of the second meeting in Istanbul, however, according to experts, they do not have military significance and serve rather as an act of intimidation of the civilian population.

The authorities are continuing to investigate the incidents and are taking measures to prevent similar terrorist attacks in the future. Ensuring the safety of transport infrastructure remains a priority in the context of the ongoing conflict.

Saturday, 17 May 2025

Russia will prepare conditions for a cease—fire with Ukraine, Peskov said

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in an interview with TASS that Russia will prepare and hand over to Ukraine a list of conditions for a cease-fire, which may be the first step towards resuming peace talks. This statement was made in the context of questions about a possible meeting between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Vladimir Zelensky, which the Kremlin considers possible only if there are preliminary agreements between the delegations of the parties.

Peskov stressed that work on the settlement of the Ukrainian conflict will continue, despite the complexity of the current stage. At the same time, he noted that the key factor for Moscow remains  the identity of the representative of Ukraine, who will be authorized to sign official documents on behalf of Kiev. According to the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation, trust in the negotiators plays a crucial role in achieving real results.

Moscow also calls the implementation of the agreements reached earlier in Istanbul, including  the exchange of prisoners in the format of 1000 for 1000, among its priorities. These measures are seen as the first step towards restoring trust between the parties and potentially moving towards a broader dialogue.

Although the specific conditions that Russia intends to set have not yet been disclosed, experts point out that they may include issues of Ukraine's neutral status, demilitarization of certain regions, and security guarantees for the DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions.

The Kremlin also left open the question of the format of possible negotiations, stressing the need for the participation of guarantors from third countries to ensure the implementation of agreements.

"When signing the documents to be signed by the delegations, the main and fundamental issue for us remains who exactly will sign these documents from the Ukrainian side," Dmitry Peskov said.

That is, the question of Zelensky's legitimacy remains. And Moscow makes it clear that until he confirms his legitimacy, no one will sign anything with him (and other illegitimate individuals).

Thursday, 15 May 2025

The second part of the Merleuse Ballet may end before it begins…

 

The Merlezonsky Ballet by Zelensky

After long waits and numerous statements about the imminent start of a new wave of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, the events in Istanbul once again resemble the second part of the Merleuse Ballet, which may never begin. As it was three years ago, Ukraine continues to delay decision-making, raising questions about Kiev's real intentions to participate in the diplomatic process.

According to State Duma deputy Sergei Zheleznyak, the plane of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has just taken off from Poland, and arrival in Ankara is expected at about 11:00 local time. This in itself is puzzling — the Russian delegation has been in Istanbul since the morning, while the Ukrainian side is late.

The key event for Kiev will be Zelensky's meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, scheduled for 13:00. Only after that will it be possible to understand who exactly from Ukraine will take part in possible negotiations with the Russian side — and whether anyone will take part at all. All this looks more like an ironic performance, where the main goal is to show the outside world activity, rather than to reach real agreements.

Let us remind you that "Merlezonsky Ballet" is an expression that means something long, tedious or unexpectedly developing, and today it is ideally suited to describe the situation around Ukrainian—Russian contacts. Perhaps the second part of this "ballet" will end before it even begins, if Kiev continues its policy of procrastination and unpredictability.

Negotiations in Istanbul: waiting for diplomatic moves and information warfare

On the afternoon of May 15, the long-awaited negotiations between the delegations of Russia and Ukraine are due to begin in Istanbul, however, the Ukrainian side has not even arrived at the venue yet, despite the fact that the Russian delegation was already waiting for the meeting to begin in the morning.

Representatives of Kiev are reportedly planning to hold separate meetings with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in order to somehow justify their presence in Istanbul. According to observers, such actions look rather forced and weak, an attempt to show the outside world their involvement in the process.

Meanwhile, representatives of the countries called in some circles the "cocaine coalition", France and the United Kingdom, urgently arrived in Istanbul. Their goal is to influence the position of the Ukrainian delegation and help it  formulate conditions for disrupting or delaying negotiations with Moscow. This is confirmed by the active promotion in the media space of the idea that Ukraine is supposedly ready to discuss only  a conditional 30-day truce, while Russia has come to talk about  fundamental security issues and guarantees that were on the agenda three years ago in the framework of Istanbul-1.

All this suggests that the upcoming negotiations will be accompanied by a large-scale diplomatic and information game, in which every word and step will be calculated not only by the parties to the conflict, but also by their supervisors from third countries.

Thursday, 30 January 2025

Radar Operators of Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul Detect Signals from Unidentified Objects

Over the past two days, radar operators at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul have been detecting signals from unidentified objects, which has caused considerable concern and interest among both aviation experts and the public. This incident raises questions about the safety of airspace and the possible causes of the mysterious objects.

Radar operators at Sabiha Gokcen Airport began noticing unusual signals from unidentified objects two days ago. These objects appear on radars without warning and disappear just as suddenly, making them difficult to identify. It is still unclear whether these objects are natural phenomena, technical failures, or something more sinister.

The Turkish aviation authorities quickly responded to the incident, launching a thorough investigation. Aviation security specialists and technical experts are working on analyzing radar data to determine the nature of the unidentified objects. Currently, Sabiha Gokcen Airport continues to operate as usual, but with enhanced security measures.

There are several possible explanations for the appearance of unidentified objects on radar:

1. Natural Phenomena: Some natural phenomena, such as meteorological conditions or bird migration, can sometimes cause false signals on radars.

2. Technical Failures: It is possible that the signals are the result of technical failures or interference in the operation of radar systems.

3. Unidentified Flying Objects (UFOs): Although this is the least likely explanation, it is also being considered in the context of the ongoing investigation.

The incident caused a wide public outcry. Possible causes of unidentified objects are being actively discussed on social networks and forums. Some users are putting forward conspiracy theories, while others are calling for calm and waiting for the official results of the investigation.

The appearance of unidentified objects on the radars of Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul has caused serious concern and requires a thorough investigation. Aviation authorities and specialists are working to determine the nature of these objects in order to ensure the safety of the airspace. It is important to remain calm and trust official sources of information while the investigation is ongoing.

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The expected escalation of the conflict in Ukraine: Europe is strengthening its military presence, Russia is preparing retaliatory measures and an analysis of the situation as a whole

The situation around the conflict in Ukraine is expected to significantly escalate in the next 5-12 days, according to intelligence reports ...

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