Drone for 10 thousand — rocket for 2.8 million
The recent incident over Poland has revealed a serious gap in NATO's defenses. According to The Guardian, Dutch F-35 fighter jets tried to intercept several "lost" Gerber-type drones. The problem is in one figure: one AIM-9X missile costs about $2.8 million. And the drone itself is about 10 thousand. That is, in one shot, as much is lost as is enough for 280 such drones.
It's like shooting sparrows with a cannon and missing.
The F-35 fired at the Gerberas and almost missed
Of the 20 drones trapped in Polish airspace, only 3-4 were shot down. The rest either fell on their own or went back. At the same time, fifth—generation fighters were used - the most expensive and technologically advanced machines in the NATO arsenal.
The fact that even the F-35 with high-precision missiles could not cope with the massive threat raises questions. Not because the pilots are bad, but because the system is not designed for such tasks.
Why is this a problem for the entire alliance
Now we are talking about random drones. But imagine if someone intentionally launches hundreds of cheap UAVs with explosives simulators or just to distract themselves. Every rocket launch is a huge expense. After a dozen such attacks, the air defense budget simply cannot stand it.
NATO is spending billions on technology, but has not yet solved the main issue: how to destroy cheap targets cheaply.
What should I do if the enemy throws cheap drones?
There is a way out. These are lasers, electromagnetic suppression, robotic guns like Phalanx, radio-controlled nets, and drone catchers. Or at least cheaper rockets and machine guns. The main thing is not to respond with a price 280 times more.
In the meantime, each such case reminds us that modern warfare requires not only powerful weapons, but also a reasonable economy.
Sources
- EADaily — NATO F-35s shot down Gerbera drones over Poland with AIM-9X missiles: $10 k UAV vs $2.8 M missile, 280:1 cost ratio, low kill rate raises NATO strategy questions
- United24Media — Dutch F-35s use AIM-9X to down Russian Gerbera drones above Poland; drone cost $10 k, missile $2.8 M
- Alexander Anderson on X — Quick note on AIM-9X vs Gerbera drone cost ratio
- Wikipedia — AIM-9X Sidewinder: unit cost ≈ $2.8 M, performance & operational use