> 2025 | Yellowstone END

Friday, 10 October 2025

EPISODE 011: THE NOBEL COMMITTEE CHOSE SUBSTANCE OVER SHOW

NOBEL PEACE PRIZE 2025

Oslo, October 2025

Leaves fell silently over the Nobel Institute, but the silence was louder than any demonstration. In a decision that stunned diplomats and delighted conspiracy theorists, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize was awarded not to someone who claimed to "end wars with one call," but to María Corina Machado — a Venezuelan opposition figure, once stripped of her mandate, now elevated to the status of moral counterweight to a crumbling authoritarian order.

And in Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump watched the broadcast... and said nothing.


🏆 The Prize He Didn't Get

For months, rumors circulated: Trump would get the prize. After brokering a fragile Black Sea grain corridor truce. After halting a NATO-Russia cyber clash with a single tweet. After repeatedly declaring: "I'm the only one who can stop World War III."

He even joked about it at a rally:

"People keep telling me I should get the Nobel Prize. And you know what? They're right."

But the Nobel Committee, ever wary of spectacle, chose substance over show.

The citation for Machado read:

"For unyielding defense of democratic institutions in the face of systematic repression, and for embodying the quiet courage with which citizens refuse to surrender their future to tyranny."

No missiles. No tariffs. No golden escalators. Just a woman in exile, organizing voter registries in encrypted apps while Maduro's intelligence services hunt her shadow.

SPECTACLE
(TRUMP)
SUBSTANCE
(MACHADO)

🎭 The Theater of Moral Capital

Trump's absence from the laureate list is not an oversight. It's a deliberate reassessment of what "peace" means today.

  • Trump's peace — a deal: truces for photo ops, military contracts disguised as diplomacy, containment through threats.
  • Machado's peace — being: daily affirmation that truth, law, and ballots still matter — even when they're banned.

The Committee sent a clear signal:

"Peace is not the absence of war. It is the presence of justice."

In this light, Trump's "peace" looks less like statecraft and more like risk arbitrage.


👻 The Ghost of Oslo Past

This isn't the first time Trump has been overlooked. In 2020, after the Abraham Accords, he demanded the prize so loudly that the Norwegian committee chair publicly sighed. He didn't get it then. He didn't get it now.

Why? Because the Nobel Peace Prize isn't awarded for preventing escalation — it's awarded for creating something that outlasts crisis.

Machado didn't just oppose Maduro. She built parallel institutions:

  • Shadow electoral council
  • Legal aid network funded by the diaspora
  • Youth movement trained in nonviolent resistance

Trump, by contrast, dismantled more institutions than he built.


🤫 The Irony of Recognition

The cruelest paradox?

Trump indirectly contributed to Machado's rise.

His administration's sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector, recognition of Juan Guaidó, and freezing of PDVSA assets created cracks in Maduro's armor through which figures like Machado could emerge.

But when the world honored the fruit of that pressure, the medal went to the tree — not the storm.


🧠 What This Means for the Control Stack

In the hierarchy of power — what the Control Stack framework calls Layer 3 (Narrative) — this prize was a seismic shift.

  • Trump's narrative: "Only I can fix it."
  • Machado's narrative: "We're already doing it together."

One relies on the cult of the solver. The other on the resilience of the collective.

The Committee chose the latter — not out of ideology, but survival instinct. In an era of algorithmic warfare and AI disinformation, the last line of defense remains civic courage.

And it can't be negotiated. It can only be lived.


💡 Conclusion: The Silence After the Announcement

In Florida, Trump posted nothing. No furious tweet. No threat to sue. Just silence.

Perhaps for the first time, he understood:

Some victories cannot be claimed.

They must be earned in obscurity,

defended without applause,

and recognized only when the powerful can no longer look away.

Machado received the prize.

But the real reward —

is that the world still believes: peace is possible,

even when the loudest man in the room says otherwise.


Sources
  1. Radio Svoboda — Aftenposten reprint: Nobel Peace Prize to María Corina Machado
  2. UN Document — El Nacional archive: “From exile to Oslo: the unbroken thread”
  3. RBC — Politico EU analysis: “Why Trump’s world never made the short-list”

Tuesday, 7 October 2025

EPISODE 010: THE TOMAHAWK THRESHOLD — AMERICA'S CALCULATED GAMBLE IN THE SHADOW OF MOSCOW

Washington, October 2025

In the hushed corridors of the White House, where decisions echo louder than artillery, President Donald Trump has drawn a line—not in the sand, but in the flight path of a missile. On October 6, he declared that the decision to arm Ukraine with Tomahawk cruise missiles is "almost made." But this is no mere arms transfer. It is a geopolitical detonator wrapped in diplomatic caution tape.

"I want to know what they'll do with them. Where they'll send them," Trump said.

"I'm not looking for escalation."

Yet, in the calculus of modern warfare, intent matters less than capability. And Tomahawk—1,250 to 2,500 kilometers of subsonic precision—does not whisper. It announces.

Sources
  1. Fontanka.ru — Trump: “Decision on Tomahawks almost made”
  2. RTVI.com — Trump awaits usage guarantees before approving Tomahawks
  3. RIA Novosti / Tatar-Inform — Decision imminent, conditions of use specified
  4. Voennoe Delo — Strategic value of Tomahawk & Russian reaction
  5. RBC — Overview of missile significance & Kremlin response
  6. Deutsche Welle — Conditions & ongoing discussions on supply

1. The Weapon That Redraws the Map

Tomahawk is not just a missile. It is a strategic eraser.

  • Designed in the 1970s, it was never meant for proxy wars on Europe's eastern flank.
  • It flies low, hugs terrain, evades radar—and can strike Moscow from Kyiv.
  • It carries conventional or nuclear payloads. In this context, even the non-nuclear variant carries nuclear-level implications.

For Ukraine, Tomahawk would be more than firepower—it would be deterrence by reach. A single salvo could hit deep into Russia's military-industrial heartland: Voronezh, Samara, even the outskirts of the capital. Targets once deemed untouchable would fall within the kill chain of a Ukrainian launch command.

But here's the paradox: Tomahawk's greatest power lies not in its warhead, but in its message.

🎯 TOMAHAWK RANGE FROM UKRAINE 🚀

Kyiv
Moscow
Voronezh
Warsaw

1,250 km | 2,500 km | Strategic Depth


2. The Theater of Controlled Escalation

Trump's hesitation is not weakness—it is calibrated brinkmanship.

He knows that every Tomahawk launched from Ukrainian soil will be read in Moscow as an American shot. Vladimir Putin has already warned: such a move would "destroy" U.S.-Russia relations. Not strain. Not damage. Destroy.

And yet, Trump teeters on the edge—not to provoke, but to leverage.

  • He offers the weapon, but demands guarantees.
  • He opens the door, but keeps his hand on the knob.
  • He signals resolve to Kyiv, while whispering restraint to the Kremlin.

This is deterrence theater: a performance where the audience includes not just Putin, but NATO allies, the American electorate, and history itself.


3. The Illusion of Control

But can control be maintained once the missiles leave the silo?

U.S. officials admit they fear loss of oversight—especially if Tomahawks are sold to NATO allies who then transfer them to Ukraine, as Zelenskyy reportedly proposed during their UN meeting. The chain of custody becomes a legal fiction. The accountability, blurred.

And Russia will not care about paperwork.

Putin has already declared that operating Tomahawk requires U.S. personnel involvement—a claim likely exaggerated, but strategically potent. If Moscow believes American officers are in the loop, then every strike becomes a de facto act of war by the United States.

Even if false, the perception is enough.


4. The Ghost of Biden's Restraint

This moment marks a sharp break from the past.

Joe Biden refused Tomahawk transfers, fearing the red line would ignite. Trump, ever the disruptor, sees that line not as a barrier—but as a bargaining chip.

His logic is cold and transactional:

"Give them the missile. Make them promise not to use it recklessly. Then watch Putin flinch."

But warfare rarely obeys promises. And once the threshold is crossed, there is no recall.


5. What Comes Next?

Expect one of three outcomes:

  1. Conditional Transfer: A limited batch of Tomahawks arrives—with GPS locks, usage logs, and real-time U.S. monitoring. A high-tech leash on a long-range wolf.
  2. Strategic Bluff: The "almost decided" rhetoric is theater—a pressure tactic to force Russia to negotiate, without ever shipping a single missile.
  3. Point of No Return: Missiles are delivered. Ukraine tests the range. Russia responds—not with words, but with escalation of its own. The spiral begins.

Conclusion: The Missile That Carries a Question

Tomahawk does not just carry explosives. It carries a question:

Are we still in a proxy war—or have we crossed into shared combat?

Trump's "almost" is the last breath before the plunge. He wants guarantees, but guarantees cannot bind chaos. He seeks to avoid escalation, yet hands Ukraine the very tool that guarantees it.

In the new era of hybrid warfare, altitude doesn't matter.

What matters is who controls the arc of escalation.

And right now, that arc is aimed—not at a radar site or an airfield—but at the fragile membrane separating proxy conflict from great-power war.

America has loaded the missile.

Now, the world holds its breath—waiting to see who presses "launch."

Wednesday, 1 October 2025

EPISODE #009: CHINA LAUNCHES AN "INVISIBLE" MISSILE — AND DOES IT IN PLAIN SIGHT

Northern China, August 2025

Amid escalating global tensions, China conducted a test of a new ballistic missile with a hypersonic glide vehicle. But this was not a covert test. It was a public strategic gesture.

Footage spread through commercial satellites and eyewitnesses shows: the missile launches from a ground-based platform, reaches space — and then the second stage ignites in the dense layers of the atmosphere, accelerating the warhead on the final leg of its trajectory. This was not done by accident. This is a demonstration of control over a new type of weapon that does not follow the old rules.


Why This Is Not Just "Another Launch"

🔹 1. Trajectory as a Weapon

The missile used a non-standard trajectory — possibly partially orbital or "boost-glide." This allows:

  • Bypassing missile defense radars along an unpredictable arc
  • Reducing the enemy's reaction time to less than 5 minutes
  • Striking targets from any direction — even from the "rear" side of a continent

🚀 TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS 🎯

Non-ballistic path | Hypersonic glide | Unpredictable approach

🔹 2. Hypersonic + Ballistic = New Threat Class

The hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) does not fly in a parabolic trajectory. It maneuvers at speeds above Mach 5, changing course and altitude. Current missile defense systems — THAAD, Aegis, GMD — are not designed for such targets.

🔹 3. Beijing Didn't Hide — It Showed

Unlike previous tests conducted in secrecy, this time the video appeared in the public domain. This is not a leak. This is an intentional leak.

China is telling the world:

"You see what we can do. Now decide if you want to provoke us."


Who's in the Line of Fire?

  • Guam — within range even at medium distances
  • Japan and South Korea — under threat of conventional strike without escalating to nuclear war
  • USA — their early warning systems may fail to recognize the threat in time

What's Next?

Expect:

  • New "public" tests — now this is part of the deterrence doctrine
  • Integration of HGV into DF-17, DF-26, and even DF-41
  • Countermeasures from the U.S. and NATO: accelerated development of hypersonic intercept systems (e.g., Glide Phase Interceptor)

Conclusion:

China no longer tests weapons in silence.

It launches them in front of its enemies — as a reminder:

A new era of warfare has already begun.

And in it, altitude doesn't matter.

What matters is who controls the trajectory of chaos.

— the choice is yours ⥣

Monday, 29 September 2025

EPISODE #008: DUTCH FOOD SHIELD — WHEN SUPERMARKETS BECOME THE LAST LINE OF DEFENSE


📍 What's Happening?

The Netherlands — a country where bicycles are more important than traffic jams, and cheese is traded like stocks — is now preparing for the worst.

Dutch supermarkets are developing crisis plans in case of large-scale food supply disruptions. The reason?

Warnings from national security services: possible power outages, cyberattacks, and even sabotage provoked by geopolitical tensions.

The National Coordinator for Security and Counterterrorism (NCTV) stated directly:

"Critical infrastructure — including energy systems, water supply, and digital networks — can become a target. The food supply chain is vulnerable."

This is not panic. This is planned preparation for a new reality.


🔗 Sources:

Sources
  1. NOI.md — National-security brief on food-crisis contingency planning
  2. FAO — Netherlands-funded programme for resilient food systems in protracted crises
  3. RBC — NCTV warnings & supermarket civil-defence measures
  4. Izvestia — Cyber-attack scenarios against food retail logistics

🔥 Why Is This Alarming?

🔹 1. Food as the New Front Line

Supermarkets are no longer just retail outlets. They are lifeline nodes in peacetime and strategic pressure targets in crisis. If you disable refrigerators, block logistics, or hack warehouse management systems — you can trigger social panic within 48 hours.

🔹 2. Hybrid Warfare in the Supermarket

Russia, proxy groups, hacktivists — all understand: You don't need to bomb cities to paralyze a country. Just disrupt the supply chain.

Western analysts have long warned: the next stage of hybrid attacks is targeting civilian infrastructure:

  • Power grids
  • Water systems
  • Food distribution centers

The Netherlands is an ideal target:

  • Dense urbanization
  • High dependence on imports (up to 70% of food)
  • Key EU logistics hub (Rotterdam, Schiphol)

🔹 3. Supermarkets as the "Reserve Shield" of the State

The government doesn't hide that in case of emergency, state reserves won't save everyone. Therefore, retailers — Albert Heijn, Jumbo, Lidl, Plus — are included in national response plans. Their tasks:

  • Maintain a minimum assortment (water, cereals, canned goods, medicine)
  • Have backup generators and alternative delivery routes
  • Ensure cyber resilience of cash register and warehouse systems

🕵️‍♂️ Who's Behind the Threat?

🔹 1. Russia — Through Hybrid Methods

  • Already used cyberattacks on power systems (Ukraine, Germany)
  • Uses economic pressure as a weapon (gas, grain)
  • Can simulate "accidental" failures in logistics through IT system compromise

🔹 2. Hacktivists and Proxy Groups

  • Pro-Russian hacktivists (e.g., Killnet) have already attacked Dutch government sites
  • Can use drones for sabotage at warehouses or DDoS against online delivery

🔹 3. Accident or Sabotage?

Authorities don't rule out technical failures — but the synchronization of threats (electricity + internet + logistics) suggests deliberate pressure.


⚠️ Why Is This Not Just a "Supermarket Problem"?

Because hunger is the fastest way to destroy stability.

In 2022, Europe saw how bread prices caused protests. In 2025, lack of bread could cause chaos.

The Netherlands is one of the most vulnerable EU countries in this regard:

  • No strategic grain reserves
  • Almost the entire cooling system depends on the power grid
  • 90% of cargo passes through a few key nodes

If they are paralyzed — the country will stop.


📌 What's Next?

  • Installation of EW and drone protection systems around logistics centers
  • Creation of "blacklists" of suppliers from risky jurisdictions
  • Mandatory drills for retailers under "week without electricity" scenarios
  • Possible introduction of a "72-hour reserve" norm in each store

💎 Conclusion:

This is not just a "crisis plan."

This is recognition: the world has changed.

Now the supermarket is part of national defense.

And bread, water, and toilet paper are tactical resources.

The Netherlands is preparing not for a war with tanks.

It is preparing for a war without electricity, without internet — but with shelves that don't empty.

Because in the 21st century, the one who survives is not the one with more missiles...

But the one with more rice.

Stay tuned. The next target is not airports.
The next target is your refrigerator.

Tuesday, 23 September 2025

EPISODE #007: NORDIC NIGHT ALERT — DRONES OVER AIRPORTS: INCIDENT, PROVOCATION, OR WARNING?

Airports were suspended at night in Norway and Denmark due to the discovery of unknown drones

🔴 What Happened?

At night, in Norway and Denmark — two countries playing a key role in NATO's defense architecture — operations were suspended at major airports due to the appearance of unknown drones:

  • Copenhagen Airport (Denmark) — closed for 4 hours after detecting 2-3 drones. Flights were canceled or delayed. The drones disappeared on their own and were not shot down.
  • Oslo Airport (Norway) — initially switched to one runway, then completely closed for security reasons.

Both countries launched a joint investigation involving police, intelligence, and military. So far, no one has claimed responsibility, and the origin of the drones remains unknown.


🔗 Sources:

Sources
  1. Lenta.ru / Reuters — Oslo & Copenhagen airports restrict flights after drone sightings
  2. Doxa.team — Timeline & Danish police statement
  3. Meduza.io — Official confirmation of airport closures
  4. BFM.ru — Investigation update & authorities' reaction
  5. RIA Novosti — Additional details on drone incidents
  6. RBC.ru — Government response & air-traffic impact
  7. VZ.ru — Fall-out for Scandinavian air links

🕵️‍♂️ Why Is This Alarming?

1. Target: Disrupting NATO Infrastructure

Copenhagen and Oslo are not just civilian airports. They are strategic logistics hubs, especially given NATO's increased military activity in Northern Europe (including threats from Russia). Even a short-term closure is a blow to operational readiness.

2. Drones Were Not Shot Down — They Left on Their Own

This suggests either:

  • A low level of threat (e.g., amateur drones accidentally entering the zone),
  • Or a high level of operator preparation, who controlled the situation and left before air defense intervention.

3. Synchronized Incidents

Occurred simultaneously in two countries — not a coincidence. Possible scenarios:

  • Coordinated provocation
  • Testing of air defense systems and NATO response
  • Reconnaissance operation — gathering data on reaction times, airport shutdown algorithms, vulnerabilities.

🌍 Context: Scandinavia on the Front Line

  • Norway — NATO member since 1949, borders Russia, hosts alliance forces in the Arctic.
  • Denmark — controls access to the Baltic Sea, actively involved in protecting the Baltic states, has provided Ukraine with intelligence and weapons.
  • Both countries have strengthened military cooperation with the U.S. and NATO since 2022.

In this light, the drone incident is not just an "airspace violation," but a potential signal or test of boundaries.


🤔 Who Could Be Behind This?

1. Russia (Hybrid Warfare / Reconnaissance)

  • Frequently uses drones for data collection and destabilization.
  • Previous incidents with Russian drones near NATO borders.
  • Possible test of air defense reaction before more serious actions.

2. Proxy Groups or Hacktivists

  • Pro-Russian hacktivists (e.g., Killnet) have previously attacked Scandinavian targets.
  • Could have used kamikaze drones or simply disrupted systems.

3. False Flag / Internal Provocation

  • Less likely, but possible — to justify strengthening air defense or allocating budget.

4. Technical Malfunction / Private Drones

  • Least likely — given the scale, synchronization, and authorities' reaction.

⚠️ Why Weren't They Shot Down?

  • Risk of debris falling on residential areas or aircraft.
  • Low altitude and small size — difficult for radars and air defense.
  • No direct threat of explosion — drones did not attack, just "hovered."
  • Desire not to escalate — if this is a provocation, shooting them down could provide a pretext for retaliation.

📈 What's Next?

  • Strengthening air defense around airports — installation of electronic suppression systems (e.g., Drone Dome, AUDS).
  • Changing protocols — now even a single drone can cause a complete shutdown.
  • Political response — possible NATO statements, increased patrolling, accusations against Moscow (if evidence emerges).

💡 Conclusion:

This is not just "rogue drones."

This is a new round of hybrid warfare in Europe. Silent, technological, without direct confrontation. The goal: destabilize, intimidate, test resilience.

If drones paralyzed airports today — tomorrow they could attack power plants, ports, or military bases.

Scandinavia is not the periphery. It is the new front.

P.S. When drones start flying over NATO airports — it's not an "incident." It's a warning. And possibly a rehearsal.

Monday, 22 September 2025

EPISODE #006: SKUNK WORKS PRESENTS VECTIS AIR — THE NEXT-GEN STEALTH COMBAT DRONE: ANALYSIS AND SIGNIFICANCE

Skunk Works introduces the Vectis Air combat drone, which relies on stealth

📍 Event:

Skunk Works presents the Vectis Air combat drone, focusing on stealth. The new Lockheed Collaborative Combat Aircraft, expected to take flight in two years, reflects a more advanced approach compared to the types the U.S. Air Force has chosen so far.

Lockheed Martin has unveiled a new, more advanced stealth drone of the Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) type called Vectis. This unmanned aerial vehicle is designed with a high degree of adaptability to operator requirements, both in the U.S. and worldwide, and is expected to enter service within two years. Vectis, in particular, follows Skunk Works' unsuccessful "gold-plated" bid for an ultra-low-observable aircraft for the first phase of the U.S. Air Force's CCA program but still emphasizes above-average survivability compared to other projects currently under testing.

Skunk Works has not disclosed the exact start date of Vectis development but describes it as a product of a broader development philosophy adopted by the company called the Agile Drone Framework. Within this platform, priority is given to modularity and open mission systems, as well as compatibility in areas such as command and control architecture, rather than any specific hardware. The name Vectis comes from the Latin word for "lever" or "pole" and is intended to reflect the "force of impact" that the platform offers.


🔗 Sources:

Sources
  1. Army Recognition — Vectis overview & mission set
  2. Air & Space Forces — Skunk Works interview & capability brief
  3. Breaking Defense — development status & 2027 first-flight plan
  4. The War Zone — design details & stealth focus
  5. The Aviationist — launch report, specs & analysis
  6. Defense One — CCA contest positioning & future work

🚀 What is Vectis? In Brief

Vectis Air is a new stealth combat drone (Collaborative Combat Aircraft, CCA) developed by Skunk Works — the legendary division of Lockheed Martin known for creating machines such as the F-117, SR-71, F-22, and F-35.

It is designed as a hybrid, modular, adaptive drone capable of operating in conjunction with manned fighters (such as the F-35 or NGAD) and performing a wide range of tasks — from reconnaissance to strikes and electronic warfare.

Key focus: stealth, survivability, and adaptability to different operator needs.


⚙️ Why is Vectis a Step Forward?

1. Lessons from the Past: The "Gold-Plated" Prototype Failure

Previously, Skunk Works participated in the first phase of the U.S. Air Force's CCA program, but its proposal was considered too expensive and complex — "gold-plated." Vectis is the response to this criticism: it retains stealth but focuses on flexibility and lifecycle cost.

2. Agile Drone Framework — The Philosophy of the Future

Vectis is built on Lockheed's new platform — Agile Drone Framework. This means:

  • Modular architecture — quick changes to payload: from radar to missiles or EW systems.
  • Open interfaces — compatibility with other manufacturers' control systems and allies (NATO, Japan, Australia, etc.).
  • Flexible software and AI — ability to update the drone's "brains" without changing hardware.
  • Rapid mission adaptation — from reconnaissance to "flying arsenal" or "electronic vampire."

This is not just a drone — it's a platform, like the "USS Jimmy Carter" submarine, but in the air.


🌍 "Vectis" — The Lever of Impact

The name Vectis comes from the Latin vectislever, pole, tool of impact. This is not accidental:

  • The drone is a force multiplier for manned aircraft.
  • It allows doubling firepower, reducing risks for pilots, expanding control zones.
  • Can act as vanguard, decoy, sensor node, or strike element.

One F-35 + 2–4 Vectis drones = the squadron of the future.


🕶️ Stealth — Not Just Shape, but Philosophy

Skunk Works doesn't disclose details, but based on style and tradition:

  • Fuselage and wing shape — optimized to reduce RCS (radar cross-section).
  • Materials and coatings — absorption and scattering of radio waves.
  • Internal weapon bays — no external hardpoints to avoid radar detection.
  • Thermal and acoustic masking — reduction of IR and noise signatures.

This is not a "cheap drone" like the Kratos XQ-58 Valkyrie — it's an elite invisible operator designed to operate in high ADA (Air Defense Area) zones.


📅 Timelines and Prospects

  • First flight — in 2 years (expected 2027).
  • Operational deployment — within 2 years after first flight? (possibly 2029).
  • Target customers: U.S. Air Force, NATO allies, Pacific partners (Japan, South Korea, Australia).

Lockheed is clearly focusing on export potential — modularity and open standards allow Vectis to be adapted to the needs of different countries.


🆚 How Vectis Compares to Competitors

Parameter Vectis (Lockheed) XQ-58 Valkyrie (Kratos) YFQ-42A (General Atomics) MQ-28 Ghost Bat (Boeing)
Stealth ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (highest) ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐
Survivability ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐
Modularity ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Agile Framework) ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Cost ??? (likely above average) Low Medium Medium
Role High-risk missions in ADA zones "Expendable" drone-satellite Strike/reconnaissance Multipurpose partner

Vectis is not a replacement, but a complement to cheap drones. It is the elite, operating where others cannot survive.


🎯 Strategic Significance

Vectis is part of the Air Force revolution: the transition from "one pilot — one aircraft" to "one pilot — an entire pack of drones."

  • NGAD (Next Generation Air Dominance) — Vectis could become a key element of this program.
  • Multi-domain combat — integration with space, cyberspace, and ground systems.
  • Deterrence against China and Russia — operation in A2/AD (Anti-Access/Area Denial) zones where conventional aircraft are vulnerable.

💬 Conclusion: "The Pole" That Will Turn Air Warfare Upside Down

Vectis is not just a new drone. It is:

  • An evolution of stealth technology from Skunk Works.
  • A response to the challenges of 21st-century hybrid warfare.
  • A lever (vectis) that amplifies the power of manned Air Forces.
  • A platform that could become the standard of the decade.

If Jimmy Carter is the "deep spy," then Vectis is the "sky ghost" — invisible, adaptive, deadly.

Watch for 2027 — that's when the sky will begin to change.

P.S. When they say "Skunk Works is reinventing the future again" — they're not joking. Vectis is proof.

Sunday, 21 September 2025

EPISODE #005: SARMA MLRS — RUSSIA'S NEW WORD IN ARTILLERY: ANALYSIS AND CONTEXT

Sarma — new 300-mm high-precision MLRS on an armored KAMAZ

📍 Event:

Russia has unveiled its newest multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) "Sarma" — a heavy 300-millimeter launcher mounted on an armored KamAZ-63501 chassis. The system was demonstrated by representatives of Motovilikha Plants during Vladimir Putin's recent visit.

According to the information presented at the event, the Sarmat MLRS was developed as an evolution of the earlier "KAMA" project. It is equipped with six launch tubes for guided 300-mm rockets, providing a range of 20 to 90 kilometers with an accuracy of about 0.21%. Developers stated that the launcher can deliver a full salvo in less than 19 seconds.


🔗 Sources:

Sources
  1. Amalantra.ru — Full "Sarma" profile: specs, smart munitions
  2. TAdviser.ru — Project evolution vs. Kama & Tornado-S
  3. MilitaryArms.ru — Systems & tactical capabilities of Sarmа MLRS
  4. RIA Novosti — Guided rounds & automated fire-control data
  5. RG.ru — High-mobility MLRS with smart munitions development news

🚀 What is "Sarma"?

"Sarma" is the newest heavy multiple launch rocket system (MLRS), developed by Motovilikha Plants (part of Rostec) and first publicly presented during Vladimir Putin's visit to the enterprise in April 2025. This is an evolution of the "KAMA" project, but with serious improvements in mobility, accuracy, and firepower.


🛠️ Technical Specifications (Declared Data)

  • Caliber: 300 mm — same as the legendary "Smerch", but with new capabilities.
  • Launch tubes: 6 (vs. 12 in "Smerch") — fewer, but more powerful and accurate.
  • Chassis: KamAZ-63501 — 8x8, armored, high cross-country capability, with active protection system and likely stealth elements against thermal imagers and radar.
  • Range: 20–90 km — covers the entire tactical depth of the modern battlefield.
  • Accuracy: ~0.21% CEP — means a deviation of about 190 meters at maximum range (90 km). For unguided rockets, this is fantastic, indicating guided missiles (GLONASS/INS, possibly terminal guidance).
  • Salvo time: less than 19 seconds — high rate of fire for a heavy MLRS.
  • Combat weight: estimated at 30–35 tons.
  • Crew: 3–4 people (likely with an automated loading cycle).

⚔️ Tactical Purpose

"Sarma" is not a replacement for "Smerch", but an evolution and complement. It is designed for:

  1. Destruction of high-value targets — command posts, communication nodes, depots, airfields.
  2. Suppression of enemy artillery systems and MLRS — including HIMARS and M270.
  3. Operation within network-centric systems — receiving targeting data from UAVs, satellites, ground reconnaissance groups.
  4. High mobility and "fire-and-scoot" tactics — approach, fire salvo, retreat — classic MLRS doctrine, but with a new level of protection and automation.

Key advantage: combination of 300-mm projectile power, precision of a guided missile, and survivability on the battlefield due to armored chassis.


🔄 From "KAMA" to "Sarma": What's the Evolution?

The "KAMA" project (Kolomna-Motovilikha) was an experimental system with a similar layout, but "Sarma" appears to be a serial, combat-ready version with:

  • Improved fire control system.
  • Enhanced crew protection.
  • Compatibility with new types of ammunition (including cluster, thermobaric, high-precision unitary).
  • Integration into the Unified Artillery Command System.

🌍 Geopolitical Context

The appearance of "Sarma" is a direct response to Western HIMARS/M270 systems, which have shown high effectiveness in Ukraine. Russia is focusing on:

  • Accuracy — to avoid wasting hundreds of rockets on a single target.
  • Survivability — armor and camouflage against artillery reconnaissance and UAVs.
  • Autonomy — ability to operate without constant logistical support.

This is also a signal: Russian defense industry can create new systems even under sanctions.


🆚 Comparison with Analogues

Characteristic "Sarma" MLRS (Russia) "Smerch" (Russia) HIMARS (USA)
Caliber 300 mm 300 mm 227 mm
Launch Tubes 6 12 6
Range up to 90 km up to 90–120 km* up to 80–150 km (GMLRS-ER/PrSM)
Accuracy ~190 m at 90 km 100–500 m <10 m (GMLRS)
Chassis Armored KamAZ MAZ-543 FMTV (light truck)
Crew Protection Yes No Minimal
Salvo Time <19 sec ~38 sec ~60 sec (reloading — 5–10 min)

* — with 9M544/9M542 missiles (guided).

Conclusion: "Sarma" is a heavy, protected, precise medium-range system, combining the best of "Smerch" and HIMARS, but with an emphasis on survivability and autonomy.


💡 Forecast and Significance

  • "Sarma" will enter service in 2025–2026, likely first in army artillery brigades and groupings in border regions.
  • It will not replace "Tornado-S" or "Smerch", but will occupy a niche between them and "Iskander" — as a system for precise but massive strikes on rear targets.
  • An export version is possible — especially for countries needing "Smerch" power but with less visibility and greater survivability.

🧭 Conclusion: "Sarma" — Fire, Armor, and Precision

"Sarma" is the new standard of Russian heavy artillery: fewer launch tubes, but more "brains", armor, and precision. It is designed for a war where every rocket counts, and crew survival is not a luxury, but a necessity.

This is not just an MLRS. This is artillery special forces: fast, precise, deadly, and with the ability to retreat before a counterstrike.

P.S. The name "Sarma" comes from a powerful wind blowing on Lake Baikal. Symbolically: a system that strikes the enemy suddenly, with enormous force — and disappears just as quickly.

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