For the past day, observers have been closely monitoring the situation in the southern part of Russia. From August 4 to August 8, 2025, Russia closed the airspace over the Kapustin Yar military training ground located in the Astrakhan region. The restriction zone also affects a part of the Volgograd region. Such measures, as noted by the media, often precede major tests or missile launches.
This step is particularly alarming in Ukraine and in the West, because the Kapustin Yar test site is closely linked to the new Oreshnik medium-range hypersonic ballistic missile. It was from here, according to assumptions, that the first launch of this rocket was carried out. Recall that in February 2022, the airspace above the training ground was also closed before Russia attacked a military facility in Dnepropetrovsk with an Oreshnik missile. It is believed that the maximum flight range of the Oreshnik can reach 5,500 km, and its speed is up to 10-12 mach.
The Russian Ministry of Defense has not yet commented on the sky closure. However, these actions coincided with important political statements. On the same day, August 4, the Russian Foreign Ministry announced the lifting of a voluntary moratorium on the deployment of intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles. In response, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev said that further steps should be expected after this decision. He called the lifting of the moratorium a response to the anti-Russian policies of NATO countries and urged the West to "expect" the consequences.
It is possible that the closure of the zone above Kapustin Yar may indicate readiness for a new attack. While there is no official confirmation of the purpose of the current restrictions, the combination of the closure of the landfill and loud statements by Russian officials creates a tense atmosphere and makes us think about the possible consequences.
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