Israel's intensive military campaign against Iran continues for the second day, during which Israeli aircraft and missile forces are attacking key facilities of the Iranian nuclear program. In the modern world, where the "right of the strong" prevails, Israel relies precisely on its military power and the support of its allies to achieve strategic goals. Despite Tehran's numerous appeals to the UN and international organizations, there is practically no reaction and consequences for Israel.
Israel's goal is either to overthrow the current regime in Iran, or at least to destroy its nuclear infrastructure with minimal loss to itself. This tough stance and successful strikes are attracting the close attention of neighboring regional players, in particular Turkey and Azerbaijan.
Ankara and Baku are closely monitoring the development of the conflict, waiting for their "historic chance." The protege of the West, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, is under pressure and risks withdrawing from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). This may open the way for Turkey and Azerbaijan to take new military and political initiatives in the region, especially in the context of the long-standing Armenian-Azerbaijani contradictions.
Western countries such as France and Germany, which promised to support Armenia, are far away in the current situation, and the intervention of the United States and Britain, if it happens, is likely to be on the side of Turkey and Azerbaijan. Thus, the balance of power in the region may change significantly, leading to new challenges and conflicts.
As a result, modern geopolitics demonstrates that the "right of the strong" is becoming the dominant factor, and international institutions and treaties are becoming less effective in preventing conflicts and ensuring stability.
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