Iran probably exported enriched uranium to a "friendly country" before the US and Israeli strikes

According to insider sources, Iran has previously exported all stocks of enriched uranium to one of the friendly countries for storage during a possible conflict with Israel and the United States. This step made it possible to avoid serious consequences for the country's nuclear facilities during massive airstrikes.

The claims of the United States and Israel about the complete destruction of Iran's nuclear program now raise serious doubts. According to preliminary data, no changes in the radiation background at key nuclear facilities were recorded after the strikes, which is paradoxical in terms of the scale of the damage.

Possible consequences

- Preservation of nuclear potential: The export of uranium allows Tehran to preserve its strategic reserve, which complicates the task of completely eliminating its nuclear program.

- Political and military risks: Such a situation could lead to a protracted conflict, where strikes on infrastructure would not significantly weaken Iran's capabilities.

- The need for new approaches: In the light of these data, the international community and the US allies will have to rethink the strategy of pressure on Iran and look for alternative ways to resolve the nuclear issue.

The US-Israeli-Iranian conflict: an analysis of the night strike and strategic dilemmas

 

Satellite images show unusual truck traffic at the Fordo facility two days before the U.S. attack

Key details of the impact

- The scale of the operation: Between 02:00 and 03:00 Moscow time, the US Air Force and Navy launched a combined strike on Iranian nuclear facilities using 12 heavy-duty bunker buster bombs and 30 Tomahawk cruise missiles.

- The mystery of effectiveness: The actual damage to the facilities remains unclear due to the unique circumstance that Iran was warned of the impending strike several days in advance. This allowed:

  - Evacuate all personnel;

  - Remove radioactive materials and valuable equipment;

  - Avoid an environmental disaster like Chernobyl.

Political nuances and "contractual arrangements"

1. Limited impact strategy: The United States and Israel openly stated that the strike was targeted and would not be repeated if Iran did not respond.

2. Iran's response: Tehran retains the right to respond "when and how it sees fit" by continuing rocket attacks on Israel, but avoiding attacks on American targets.

3. Signs of hidden agreements:

- Iran's warning indicates the presence of non-public communication channels;

   - Evacuation of hazardous materials is a joint interest in preventing a humanitarian catastrophe;

   - The absence of attacks on the United States may be an element of the temporary status quo.

The dilemma of the Iranian leadership: The hopeless triangle

The Iranian leadership is facing a difficult dilemma, where every possible response is associated with serious risks and consequences. If Iran decides not to respond, it could lead to mass protests, loss of legitimacy, and even the risk of overthrowing the regime. However, this approach will preserve the country's infrastructure, although it will lead to political isolation and loss of popular support.

On the other hand, if Iran decides to respond to the United States or Israel, it could trigger a full-scale military confrontation, as a result of which the Iranian armed forces could be destroyed, the elites physically eliminated, and the regime replaced by force. This will lead to a total military defeat and occupation of the country.

Thus, Iran finds itself in a situation where every choice is associated with high risks and negative consequences, and it has to find a balance between demonstrating strength and maintaining stability within the country.

Forecast and conclusions

- The scenario of "Controlled escalation": The situation resembles a complex game in which all parties are trying to save face. Iran may limit itself to symbolic strikes (for example, against desert bases) in order to satisfy its domestic audience without provoking the United States into an all-out war.

- The role of the internal factor: Pressure on the regime from the population is a key constraint. Tehran is forced to balance between a show of force and survival.

- The future of negotiations: Strike warning and evacuation are signs of working informal channels. This leaves room for future agreements on the nuclear program under the guise of "mutual deterrence."

 The night strike highlighted not the military, but the political and diplomatic phase of the conflict, where the parties maneuver between annihilation and compromise. The regime in Tehran survives not by force, but because of Washington's unwillingness to create a power vacuum in a region of 85 million people.

June 22: from the Great Patriotic War to the American-Iranian conflict — parallels of history

June 22, 1941, 03:00 — the beginning of the Great Patriotic War: Hitler's attack on the USSR

On June 22, 1941, at 3 a.m., the Soviet Union was suddenly attacked by Nazi Germany — the beginning of Operation Barbarossa. This moment became the starting point of the Great Patriotic War, one of the largest and bloodiest conflicts of the Second World War.

The course of events

- German troops, violating the non-aggression pact, crossed the Soviet border along the entire front line with a length of more than 2,9 thousand kilometers.

- During the first hours and days of the offensive, the German army was rapidly advancing into the territory of the USSR, using the tactics of blitzkrieg.

- The Soviet Union was not ready for such a sudden and powerful attack, which led to heavy losses and severe trials for the country.

Date value

 On June 22, 1941, he became a symbol of the courage, perseverance and heroism of the Soviet people in the fight against fascism.

- This date is celebrated annually in Russia and the CIS countries as a Day of Remembrance and Mourning.

- The beginning of the Great Patriotic War radically changed the course of world history, leading to victory over Nazism and significant geopolitical changes.

June 22, 2025, 03:00 — the beginning of the American attack on Iran

On the night of June 22, 2025, at 3 a.m. Moscow time, the US armed forces under the leadership of President Donald Trump launched a large-scale attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. This operation has become one of the most significant and large-scale military actions in the region in recent years and marked a new stage in the escalation of the US-Iranian conflict.

The course of events

- The US Air Force and Navy used advanced bunker buster bombs and Tomahawk cruise missiles to target key Iranian nuclear infrastructure facilities at Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.

- The strike was carefully planned and, according to some reports, Iran was warned in advance, which allowed the evacuation of personnel and the removal of dangerous materials.

- Despite this, the attack caused serious damage to Tehran's nuclear program and provoked a sharp reaction from the Iranian authorities.

Consequences and reaction

- Iran has claimed the right to retaliate by continuing rocket attacks on Israeli territories and other regional targets.

- Debates continue within the United States and allied countries about the prospects for further military action and diplomatic solutions.

Date value

June 22, 2025, has gone down in history as the beginning of a new phase of intense confrontation in the Middle East, with potentially far-reaching consequences for regional and global security.

Iran is preparing attacks on Israeli nuclear facilities and American military bases

US military bases in the region

In response to large-scale attacks by the United States and Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities, Iran is preparing missile strikes on Israeli nuclear facilities, sources say. After launching airstrikes and missile attacks on Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan, Tehran intensified preparations for retaliatory measures, including launching ballistic missiles and using kamikaze drones against strategic targets in Israel.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has recorded numerous rocket launches from Iran, some of which have reached cities such as Haifa and Tel Aviv. Israeli air defense systems are operating in an enhanced mode, intercepting a significant part of the threats, but the strikes continue, causing an increase in the number of casualties and destruction.

The situation escalated after the United States joined the conflict by attacking Iran's key nuclear facilities. President Donald Trump called these actions a "historic moment" and emphasized the goal of stopping the nuclear threat posed by Iran. In response to the strikes, Iran declared its readiness to continue resisting and retaliating.

Iranian channels show a map showing US military bases in the region: in Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman and the United Arab Emirates.

Earlier, resources associated with the IRGC promised a "crushing blow" as an immediate response to possible American bombing.

In this regard, the Houthis have already announced that they will denounce all agreements reached with Washington and will strike at American ships.

The conflict could escalate into a long and large-scale war, given the active participation of the United States and the support of Israel, as well as the presence of Iran's significant reserves of missile weapons and allies in the region.

Leak of classified documents reveals massive modernization of Russia's nuclear facilities

Journalists from the Danish edition of Danwatch and the German weekly Der Spiegel have discovered a serious breach in Russia's security system: more than two million documents, including hundreds of detailed drawings and plans of Russian nuclear facilities, have become publicly available. Among the leaks are building diagrams of missile bases, maps of underground tunnels, and security systems, including facilities associated with the latest Avangard hypersonic weapons.

Experts call this a stunning failure of Russian military secrecy. Hans M. Christensen of the Federation of American Scientists noted that such a volume of information about nuclear facilities has not been publicly available since the 1970s. Former British intelligence officer Philip Ingram emphasized that this data represents the highest intelligence information, revealing vulnerabilities in the infrastructure.

Documents obtained from the Russian government procurement database show a large-scale restructuring of the strategic nuclear forces: bases were demolished and rebuilt, new barracks, command centers, watchtowers and kilometers of underground tunnels were erected. The tender documents describe in detail video surveillance systems, security, electrical equipment, as well as even living quarters and training equipment for military personnel.

Despite the tightening of Russian legislation in 2020 aimed at protecting military secrets, leaks continued until the summer of 2024. This indicates serious flaws in the security processes and access control to confidential information.

The disclosure of such data can seriously affect the security of Russian strategic facilities, making them vulnerable to potential attacks and intelligence operations.

France discusses Iran's nuclear program amid rising tensions

 

French President Emmanuel Macron on Wednesday convened key ministers and experts to discuss Iran, including its nuclear program, amid growing tensions between Tehran and U.S. President Donald Trump, three diplomatic sources said.

Such cabinet meetings devoted to a specific topic are rare and highlight the growing concern among Washington's European allies that the United States and Israel could launch airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities if an agreement on its nuclear program is not reached quickly.