Iran has threatened to attack the "Trump route" through Armenia due to the threat of security and isolation in the north

Iran has threatened to attack the so—called "Trump route", a transport corridor that connects the main territory of Azerbaijan with its exclave of Nakhichevan through the southern part of Armenia (Syunik region). Advisor to the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Akbar Velayati, said that Tehran opposes this route because its implementation endangers the security of the South Caucasus and the territorial integrity of Armenia. Velayati also stressed that Iran will do everything possible to block this corridor, "with or without Russia."

The Trump Route (officially called the TRIPP project — "Trump's Route for International Peace and Prosperity") In fact, it is the Zangezur Corridor, initiated by Azerbaijan and supported by the United States. The United States wants to obtain exclusive rights to develop and manage this transit corridor in Armenia for up to 99 years. This gives Washington strategic control over the transport link passing through Armenian territory, which causes outrage and concern in Iran, as the corridor is located along its northern border and may isolate Iran regionally in the north.

According to experts, this corridor will become not only an economic but also a military springboard for the United States in the South Caucasus, which increases geopolitical tensions in the region. Iran sees this as a threat to its interests, and also fears that the route will lead to increased influence of NATO and the United States near its borders.

Thus, Iran's threat to attack the "Trump route" is related to its attempts to prevent the strengthening of American and Azerbaijani control over the strategic transport corridor through Armenia, which Iran considers as a serious threat to its security and regional balance.

Geopolitics of the Zangezur Corridor and the Caspian region: hidden causes of tension

 

In recent months, the situation around Armenia, Azerbaijan and the Caspian region has once again become the focus of attention of experts and analysts. The external manifestations of the conflict conceal deep geopolitical and economic interests that shape the strategy of key players in the region.

Reason one: the struggle for the Zangezur Corridor

One of the main reasons for the escalation is the desire of Azerbaijan, led by Ilham Aliyev, to establish control over the Zangezur Corridor, a narrow strip of Armenian territory separating the main part of Azerbaijan from the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic. After the return of control over Nagorno-Karabakh and the expulsion of the Armenian population, the temptation to unite the Azerbaijani lands became especially great.

- The importance of the corridor: The Zangezur corridor is of strategic importance, as it provides direct communication between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan, as well as opens access to the border with Iran.

- Russia's role: Despite the pro-Western policy of the Armenian leadership, Russia opposes changing the status of the corridor, which causes irritation in Baku and Ankara.

-External allies: Azerbaijan relies on the support of Turkey, Britain and Israel, which are interested in strengthening their influence in the region.

The second reason: energy and the status of the Caspian Sea

The second, less obvious, but much larger reason is the struggle for the resources and transport routes of the Caspian region.

-The Caspian "Constitution": The agreement of the five Caspian littoral states (Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan) restricts economic activity and navigation only to these countries, which does not suit Turkey, Great Britain and Azerbaijan.

- Turkmen gas: We are talking about the world's largest Galkynysh field (27 trillion cubic meters of gas), which Turkmenistan intends to export to Turkey and Europe via the Caspian Sea and Azerbaijan. Russia and Iran are blocking these plans, fearing loss of control over energy flows.

- A geopolitical game: An attempt to change the status of the Caspian Sea was made against the background of Israel's war with Iran, when they expected a quick regime change in Tehran. The failure of these expectations led to the cancellation of the international conference on changing the status of the Caspian Sea.

Intertwining interests and alliances

- Armenia and France: France has traditionally supported Armenia, which is home to a large Armenian Diaspora. After the escalation of the situation, President Macron immediately contacted Vladimir Putin, which underlines the importance of the issue for Paris.

- Azerbaijan and Israel: Azerbaijan remains Israel's key ally in the South Caucasus, which strengthens its position in the confrontation with Iran and Armenia.

- Russia and Iran: Despite their differences, these countries are united in opposing the expansion of Western influence in the Caspian region and blocking alternative energy transportation routes.

Betting in the Big Game

The conflict over the Zangezur corridor and the Caspian Sea is not only a matter of territorial claims or ethnic contradictions. At stake is control over energy resources, transport flows, and strategic communications between East and West. Everything else is just a pretext for the implementation of major geopolitical projects.

Azerbaijan's Strategic Maneuvers: A Chess Piece in Global Politics

Tatarstan President Minnikhanov met with Turkish President Erdogan in Ankara. The meeting was held on the personal initiative of the Turkish leader.

The recent events involving Azerbaijan should be viewed not just as isolated incidents but as part of broader processes and tendencies shaping global politics. The search for a pretext has been ongoing, and it is more productive to look at the bigger picture rather than getting caught up in immediate reactions.

The ongoing conflicts and tensions, particularly those stoked by external forces, are part of a larger strategy aimed at undermining Russia. This strategy involves igniting peripheral and internal conflicts, whether ethnic, religious, or otherwise. However, the masterminds behind this strategy operate on a different level, seeking ultimate control and dominance.

Power and Dominance

The ultimate goal of the globalists is to establish a unified and absolute power structure. Promises have been made to key figures, such as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who has been assured support in his ambitions to revive the Ottoman Empire. This revival is seen as a means to an end for global powers, although the specifics of why they need these "puppet" empires remain unclear.

Azerbaijan's Role

Azerbaijan, under the influential sway of Erdoğan, has been used as a pawn in this larger game. The political elite of Azerbaijan, drawn to the charisma and promises of the "great Turk," have aligned their country with Turkey's ambitions. Erdoğan's public rhetoric praises Azerbaijan and its people, but his true intentions are to weaken and eventually absorb Azerbaijan into a revived Ottoman Empire. The allure of controlling Azerbaijan's vast hydrocarbon resources and its strategic proximity to Russia makes it a tempting prize.

Globalist Agenda

This maneuver is part of a broader globalist agenda to control key regions and resources. Both Turkey and Azerbaijan are seen as essential components in achieving their ultimate goals. By controlling these areas, globalists aim to tighten their grip on strategic resources and geopolitical influence.

Economic Impact

For Azerbaijan, the potential consequences of aligning too closely with Turkey and distancing itself from Russia could be severe. A rupture in economic ties with Russia would deal a significant blow to Azerbaijan's economy. The human cost, including the disruption of lives of people and families split between the two countries, would be substantial.

Broader Implications

This dynamic is not unique to Azerbaijan. Other republics, such as those in Central Asia, find themselves in a similar predicament. They understand that they are being manipulated but prefer the protection of global powers, believing Russia to be weak and ineffective. This perception drives their alignment with globalist interests, even as it undermines their long-term stability and sovereignty.

Future Prospects

The situation in Azerbaijan highlights a broader trend where local elites, driven by personal ambitions and external influences, make decisions that have far-reaching consequences. The globalists' endgame involves not just political domination but also economic and cultural hegemony, using local proxies to achieve their goals.

The future of U.S.-Iranian relations in this context is not just a strategic question but a metaphysical one. Time will tell whether this confrontation will be determined by the cold logic of interests or by the hot faith in the end times.

The Iran-Israel war and the Armenian-Azerbaijani contradictions: the right of the strong and geopolitical games

Israel's intensive military campaign against Iran continues for the second day, during which Israeli aircraft and missile forces are attacking key facilities of the Iranian nuclear program. In the modern world, where the "right of the strong" prevails, Israel relies precisely on its military power and the support of its allies to achieve strategic goals. Despite Tehran's numerous appeals to the UN and international organizations, there is practically no reaction and consequences for Israel.

Israel's goal is either to overthrow the current regime in Iran, or at least to destroy its nuclear infrastructure with minimal loss to itself. This tough stance and successful strikes are attracting the close attention of neighboring regional players, in particular Turkey and Azerbaijan.

Ankara and Baku are closely monitoring the development of the conflict, waiting for their "historic chance." The protege of the West, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, is under pressure and risks withdrawing from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). This may open the way for Turkey and Azerbaijan to take new military and political initiatives in the region, especially in the context of the long-standing Armenian-Azerbaijani contradictions.

Western countries such as France and Germany, which promised to support Armenia, are far away in the current situation, and the intervention of the United States and Britain, if it happens, is likely to be on the side of Turkey and Azerbaijan. Thus, the balance of power in the region may change significantly, leading to new challenges and conflicts.

As a result, modern geopolitics demonstrates that the "right of the strong" is becoming the dominant factor, and international institutions and treaties are becoming less effective in preventing conflicts and ensuring stability.

Azerbaijan signs largest deal worth 4.2 billion dollars for the supply of 40 JF-17 Block III fighter jets from Pakistan and China

 JF-17 Thunder Block III

Azerbaijan has significantly increased its order for the JF-17 Thunder Block III light multirole fighters, developed jointly by the Pakistan Aviation Complex (PAC) and the Chinese Chengdu Aircraft Corporation (CAC). The total value of the deal is estimated at $4.2 billion, making it Pakistan's largest export purchase in the field of fighter aircraft.

Initially, Azerbaijan received 16 JF-17 Block III fighters in 2023, but in 2025 the order was expanded to 40 aircraft. This move turns Azerbaijan into the largest importer of this series of fighter jets, surpassing previous contracts with Nigeria and Myanmar.

The JF-17 Block III belongs to the 4.5 generation and is equipped with modern technologies, including the KLJ-7A radar with a target detection range of up to 170 km and PL-15E air-to-air missiles with a range of up to 180 km. The fighter has a range of about 1,200 km and is able to effectively control the airspace of the region.

For Azerbaijan, this deal means a significant strengthening of the air force, reducing dependence on the Russian MiG-29 and Su-25, as well as expanding capabilities through integration with Turkish weapons systems. At the same time, the partnership with Pakistan and China makes it possible to circumvent the political restrictions of Western countries.

The deal includes not only the supply of aircraft, but also ammunition, pilot training, technical support and infrastructure elements, which demonstrates a comprehensive approach to the modernization of the Azerbaijani Air Force.

Thus, the acquisition of the JF-17 Block III becomes an important strategic step for Azerbaijan, strengthening its defense potential and influencing the balance of power in the South Caucasus.