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Showing posts with label international security. Show all posts
Showing posts with label international security. Show all posts

Sunday, 24 August 2025

Australia to order Japanese frigates: historic contract for Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

Фрегат проекта Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

Japan's largest defense export contract

Earlier this month, Australia announced its decision to purchase modern frigates from the Japanese company Mitsubishi Heavy Industries. This has become the most significant defense contract for a Japanese manufacturer to date and an important milestone in expanding Tokyo's presence on the international arms market. The deal marks not only technological recognition, but also a strategic shift in Japan's defense policy.

How Japan got out of the arms export ban

For a long time, Japan has adhered to a strict policy of non-proliferation of weapons. The country's Constitution restricts the activities of the Armed Forces to self-defense, and in 1967, a complete ban on the export of defense products was actually introduced. However, in 2014, the government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe radically changed course, relaxing the ban.

A new approach has been adopted: arms exports are allowed on a case-by-case basis, subject to strict compliance with the conditions. This allowed Japan to begin participating in international projects, including joint technology development and equipment supplies for the Allies.

Three principles of defense equipment transfer

The updated "Three Principles of Defense Equipment and Technology Transfer" define the framework for arms exports. The sale can only be approved if the following conditions are met:

The buyer is not under the UN embargo and is not involved in an active armed conflict.

The transfer clearly contributes to international peace, security, or the security of Japan itself.

Tokyo exercises strict control over end-use and retransmission, including mandatory prior consent for any transfer to a third party.

These principles allow Japan to maintain a responsible approach, avoiding weapons falling into the hands of unintended users and maintaining the trust of the international community.

The strategic importance of the deal for the region

The contract with Australia is not just a commercial success. It strengthens the strategic partnership between the two countries in the face of growing tensions in the Asia-Pacific region. Joint defense projects contribute to closer coordination, compatibility of weapons, and enhanced collective security.

For Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, this order opens the door to other international markets. The company demonstrates that Japanese technologies are able to compete with the world's leading manufacturers in the segment of modern warships.

Saturday, 21 June 2025

Earthquake in Iran: a natural disaster or a "silent" nuclear test?

An earthquake of magnitude over 5 on the Richter scale has occurred in the southern provinces of Iran. Its tremors were felt over a significant area, including areas where strategically important facilities of the Iranian nuclear infrastructure are located. However, not all experts tend to see this as a purely natural phenomenon. Some analysts and independent sources are wondering:  is this tremor the result of a secret nuclear test, which Tehran has long promised not to carry out precisely because of international pressure?

Suspicions are reinforced by the fact that:

- The location of the event is located near known nuclear facilities;

- The depth and nature of the tremors differ from typical seismic events in the region;

-The Iranian authorities do not provide exhaustive comments, limiting themselves only to mentioning a "natural accident."

Such coincidences make us recall past cases when nuclear tests were accompanied by artificially induced tremors. If the information about the testing is confirmed, it will become a direct challenge to international norms, especially for Israel, the United States and EU countries, which have repeatedly warned Tehran about the consequences of any step towards creating a combat nuclear potential.

US response: Will there be a nuclear response?

However, despite Washington's possible concerns, there should be no real military response in the form of a nuclear strike. The United States, despite its rhetoric, is extremely cautious about using nuclear weapons, realizing that this could lead to a global escalation. Instead, we can expect increased economic sanctions, an expansion of missile defense programs, as well as increased diplomatic pressure through the United Nations and other structures.

When states become tribes

Meanwhile, more and more observers are noting that  traditional geopolitical architectures are losing control of the situation. A world in which countries act as rational subjects of international agreements is becoming a thing of the past. Instead, a new reality is emerging, where national interests, ideology, and internal fears begin to play a greater role than logic and dialogue.

Iran is not the only example. We see this in other regions as well, where "states" are turning into collectives more similar to tribes, where it is not the interest in peace and progress that prevails, but the desire for survival, dominance and symbolic power.

It is in such a world that something that has not been possible for a long time becomes possible:  nuclear weapons tests, targeted strikes against nuclear facilities and an increase in tension to a level comparable to the times of the Cold War.

Tuesday, 27 May 2025

Air Battle between India and Pakistan: Lessons for world aviation and air warfare strategies

The air battle between India and Pakistan, which took place in early May 2025, became one of the largest and longest in the modern history of aviation. About 125 fighters from both sides participated in the battle, which exchanged blows for more than an hour without leaving the airspace of their countries. The exchange of missile strikes took place at distances exceeding 160 kilometers, which indicates the use of modern means of air combat and tactical techniques.

This conflict, caused by the escalation of tension after the terrorist attack in the Jammu and Kashmir region, led to significant losses, including the downing of Indian fighter jets. At the same time, the parties avoided crossing the border, probably taking into account the experience of previous incidents and trying to prevent the direct capture of pilots and political complications.

Douglas Barry, a senior researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), noted that this air battle will be the subject of close attention from the military communities of China, the United States and Europe. An analysis of tactics used in combat, the effectiveness of missile systems and strategies will allow us to gain valuable experience in improving air operations in modern conflicts.

Of particular interest is which methods and systems have been successful and which have not, which will help adapt weapons and tactics for future combat operations. This battle has actually become an indirect clash between China and the West through the prism of the regional conflict, which underlines its global significance.

Thus, the air battle between India and Pakistan not only reflects regional contradictions, but also serves as an important testing ground for testing and developing modern concepts of air warfare, influencing the strategic decisions of the leading world powers.

Sunday, 4 May 2025

China is building the world's largest military center: global implications

 

Satellite images taken in recent months show China's massive construction of the world's largest underground military command center near Beijing. This megaproject covers an area of over 1,000 acres and is of great concern to the global community. Experts are carefully studying the consequences of this unprecedented event for international security and geopolitical stability.

The new military center, which is being built on the outskirts of the Chinese capital, represents an ambitious step in the development of the country's defense infrastructure. According to satellite data, the facility includes underground structures designed to manage military operations, store strategic resources, and deploy command posts. 

This construction differs not only in its size, but also in the level of technological equipment. It is assumed that the center will be able to function autonomously even in conditions of large-scale conflict, providing protection from external threats, including nuclear strikes.

The purpose of creating this center is to strengthen China's strategic potential and increase its readiness for confrontation with other powers. Underground structures can be used to coordinate the actions of the armed forces, protect critical information and ensure the continuity of government in emergency situations.

 This project is also aimed at demonstrating China's strength and technological superiority on the world stage. Amid growing tensions with the United States and its allies, Beijing is keen to stress its ability to defend its interests by any means necessary.

Tuesday, 29 April 2025

The F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet was lost overboard of the USS Harry S. Truman after the incident in the Red Sea

 

The US Navy reported the loss of an F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet, which fell overboard the aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman during a towing operation. The incident occurred in the Red Sea, where the aircraft carrier is carrying out tasks as part of a large-scale military operation against the Houthi rebel group.  

According to a statement from representatives of the US Navy, initial data indicate that the aircraft carrier's abrupt maneuver to evade the Houthi attack was one of the reasons for the fighter's downfall. On Monday, the Houthis announced an attack using drones and missiles directed against the USS Harry S. Truman. Although the aircraft carrier was not seriously damaged, the incident resulted in the loss of an expensive fighter jet.

Fortunately, all the personnel were found, and the consequences of the incident were minimal — one sailor was slightly injured. However, the loss of the F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter represents significant material damage to the U.S. Navy. This case also highlights the risks faced by American warships in the region due to Houthi activity.

The Houthi rebel group based in Yemen continues to intensify its attacks on ships and warships in the Red Sea. Using modern drones and missile systems, they seek to put pressure on the international community and the United States in particular. Operations against the Houthis remain a priority for the US military, but such incidents demonstrate the complexity of operations in an environment of increased threat.

Wednesday, 16 April 2025

Military strikes are unlikely to permanently destroy Iran's nuclear program

Analytical evidence suggests that military strikes are unlikely to be able to permanently destroy Iran's nuclear program. Military and nuclear experts say that any attacks by the United States and Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities would be risky and would only set the program back a few years if their true goal is not regime change.

 The main conclusions of the experts

-Riskiness of attacks: Experts emphasize that any military attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities will be fraught with high risk. This could lead to an escalation of the conflict and negative consequences for regional and international security.

- Temporary effect: Even if the attacks are successful, they will at best set back the Iranian nuclear program by several years. However, this will not stop Iran from resuming the program in the future.

- The goal of regime change: Experts point out that for the final destruction of Iran's nuclear program, it is necessary to achieve broader political goals, such as regime change in the country.

Historical context

Military attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities have been attempted in the past. For example, in the 2010s, Israel and the United States conducted operations to sabotage Iran's nuclear program, including cyber attacks and assassinations of scientists. However, these actions could not completely stop the program.

Influence on international politics

The possibility of military attacks on Iran is of concern to the international community. Many countries oppose such actions, fearing escalation of the conflict and negative consequences for global security.

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The expected escalation of the conflict in Ukraine: Europe is strengthening its military presence, Russia is preparing retaliatory measures and an analysis of the situation as a whole

The situation around the conflict in Ukraine is expected to significantly escalate in the next 5-12 days, according to intelligence reports ...

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