EPISODE 030: IRAN — THE REBELLION IS BEING SUPPRESSED: THE ORGANIZERS OF THE COUP URGENTLY NEED A "PLAN B"..

Tuesday, January 13, 2026 — 23:47 GMT

Watching Tehran burn—not with fire, but with silence.

The internet is gone. The streets are quieter. The bodies keep piling up. And Reza Pahlavi’s voice on Western airwaves sounds less like a rallying cry and more like static from a dead channel.

Let’s be brutally honest: the anti-regime uprising that erupted on December 28, 2025 is stalling. Not collapsing—yet—but losing momentum at the worst possible moment. And those who engineered this “color revolution” from exile are running out of scripts.

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THE BELARUSIAN BLUEPRINT IS WORKING—FOR TEHRAN

Iran isn’t improvising. It’s executing a playbook tested in Minsk during the summer of 2020:

• Internet blackout → cuts coordination, fuels fear, isolates neighborhoods.
• Mass arrests + targeted eliminations → decapitate the protest leadership before it can institutionalize.
• State-organized counter-rallies → flood public space with regime loyalists, drown dissent in noise.

It’s textbook authoritarian crisis management. And it’s working.

Unlike Venezuela—where elite fractures allowed external actors to pry open the system—Iran’s security apparatus remains unified. No defectors. No coups from within. The IRGC, Basij, and police aren’t wavering. They’re sharpening blades.

“Without betrayal at the top, street protests alone cannot topple a theocracy that controls the guns, the mosques, and the narrative.”

And now, whispers of public executions for captured activists? That’s not just repression—it’s psychological warfare. Designed to make every would-be demonstrator ask: “Is my death worth Pahlavi’s dream?”

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PAHLAVI’S EMPTY THRONE

Reza Pahlavi—the “Crown Prince” of Twitter diplomacy—has called for “disciplined masses,” urged security forces to “return to the nation,” and promised victory is near.

But his appeals ring hollow. Why?

Because he’s asking Iranian youth to die… for him. Not for democracy. Not for bread. For a monarchy that vanished in 1979. There’s no organic groundswell behind his image—only curated footage from Istanbul and London studios.

His “unprecedented” turnout on January 8? Overshadowed within 48 hours by state-backed rallies in the same cities. The regime didn’t panic. It counterattacked.

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WASHINGTON’S HESITATION = DEATH FOR THE UPRISING

Enter Donald Trump.

On January 11, instead of airstrikes or Special Forces insertions (which many in Tehran expected overnight), the White House unveiled… a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran.

Let that sink in.

While protesters are being shot in Isfahan and Mashhad, Washington responds with trade policy. Not cruise missiles. Not cyber blackouts of IRIB. Not even drone strikes on Basij barracks.

Trump did threaten military action: “If they kill peaceful protesters, we’re locked and loaded.” But now? He’s taking calls from Tehran about “negotiations.” Meanwhile, Iran openly vows to strike U.S. bases with ballistic missiles if attacked.

This isn’t deterrence. It’s dithering.

Every day without decisive U.S. intervention signals weakness—not just to Khamenei, but to every Iranian watching from a darkened apartment, wondering if anyone outside cares enough to act.

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NO PLAN B. NO TIME LEFT.

The protest wave has crested—and is receding.

Without an external shock—real kinetic force, not tariffs—the movement will dissolve into memory. The regime will hold trials. Hang leaders. Rewrite history.

There are no “domestic solutions” left. The internal spark is smothered. Only an outside hammer can reignite it.

So the question isn’t whether Iranians want change.

It’s whether Washington has the stomach to make it happen.

Right now? The answer looks like no.

And that may be the final nail in the coffin of Iran’s 2026 uprising.

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Sources & Context

1. NPR — Nationwide internet blackout amid protests
2. Jerusalem Post — Internet shut down; Pahlavi's call unprecedented
3. Modern Diplomacy — Trump threatens 25% tariff amid unrest
4. An Nahar — 600+ dead, Iran proposes talks
5. Al Jazeera — Tariffs, not bombs
6. Le Monde — Internet cut as protests grow

the choice is yours ⥣

EPISODE 029: IN VENEZUELA, WHAT JUST HAPPENED IS CALLED ELITE BETRAYAL

Fast.

Relentless.

Precise.

Certain.

I’m not offering analysis—just impressions. Raw, unfiltered sensation. The kind that crawls up your spine before the headlines catch up.

There was knowledge.

Not rumor. Not speculation. But knowledge.

Someone inside Venezuela’s ruling structure knew. Knew the exact hour, the flight path, the target list. Knew the U.S. wasn’t bluffing—they were coming to extract.

And yet… that knowledge didn’t reach Nicolás Maduro.

Because it wasn’t meant to.

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THE SIGNAL WAS SENT—BUT NOT TO HIM

The intelligence flow wasn’t broken. It was rerouted.

Special services? Military comms? Surveillance chatter? Doesn’t matter.

What matters is this: the signal went “up”… but stopped just short of the president’s desk.

It went elsewhere.

To the men who stand just behind him in photos.

The ones with the same weight, the same posture, the same silence.

I keep seeing a face—

Not tall. Stocky. Receding hairline. Eyes that have watched too many purges and survived them all.

A man with epaulettes. A man who whispers in the inner sanctum.

Diosdado Cabello. Or maybe Vladimir Padrino López.

Does it matter which one? They’ve both been waiting.

Not for democracy. Not for freedom.

For a deal.

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A COUP DISGUISED AS A RAID

The operation was surgical—yet absurdly theatrical.

U.S. helicopters descending on Fuerte Tiuna like it’s 1989 Panama.

Maduro dragged out in pajamas (or so the leaks say). His wife beside him. No resistance. No shoot-out. No last stand.

Meanwhile, on the streets of Caracas:

Men on mopeds waving red flags.

“¡Defendamos a Maduro!” they shout—while standing next to unmarked SUVs with U.S. diplomatic plates idling nearby.

It’s theater.

Staged for history. For CNN. For domestic consumption in both Caracas and Washington.

But for Maduro?

This was real.

The walls didn’t close slowly—they vanished in an instant.

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THE REAL PLAN: HAND OVER THE OIL, KEEP THE GUNS

Don’t be fooled by the talk of “narco-terrorism” or “democratic restoration.”

This was never about justice.

It was always about control—of oil, of geography, of the Monroe Doctrine’s last unclaimed prize.

The U.S. didn’t invade to install Maria Corina Machado.

They invaded to install access.

And the Venezuelan generals?

They’ll play along.

They’ll pledge loyalty to “constitutional order.” They’ll sign production-sharing agreements with Chevron by noon.

They’ll open the Orinoco Belt like a birthday present.

But here’s the catch:

They won’t hold Venezuela together.

The moment the U.S. thinks it’s won, the fractures will explode.

The militias. The colectivos. The Colombian guerrillas in the border zones. The Cubans who vanish into the hills. The Chinese contractors who still hold port leases. The Russians with their radar stations near Puerto Ordaz.

This isn’t a transition.

It’s detonation.

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THE DOMINOES HAVE FALLEN—NOW WATCH THEM BURN

Diplomacy? Gone.

International law? A footnote.

Russia and China are screaming—but they’re already drafting evacuation lists.

The UN is “alarmed.” The OAS is “monitoring.”

And in Washington, Marco Rubio is already drafting the next sanctions list—this time for anyone who questions the “legitimacy” of the new military junta.

But the truth is this:

The U.S. has just lit a fuse that runs through Bogotá, Lima, Brasília, and maybe even Mexico City.

Because if Washington can pluck a sitting president out of his palace like a bad tooth—

Who’s next?

The illusion of sovereignty in Latin America is over.

But so is the illusion of control.

You can seize the oil—but you can’t stop the civil war that follows.

The chaos won’t stay in Venezuela. It’ll bleed north. South. Across the Caribbean. Into U.S. streets, via refugees, via blowback, via the sheer gravitational pull of blow-up empires.

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FINAL THOUGHT

Maduro wasn’t overthrown by drones.

He was overthrown by silence.

The silence of men who stood beside him for 15 years…

and chose, in the end, to say nothing at all.

Oil will flow—for a while.

Then the ground will crack open.

And everyone who thought this was a victory

will realize:

They didn’t take Venezuela.

They inherited its curse.

— Yellowstone-End

→ yellowstone-end.blogspot.com